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Writer's pictureNarcis Marian

Population demographics in Dubai. How does it impact supply and demand in the real estate market?

Dubai, a city known for its towering skyscrapers, luxurious lifestyle, and dynamic economy, has been experiencing a significant influx of residents over the years especially starting in 2021.


Understanding Dubai's Population Demographics


The city attracts foreign nationals from over 200 countries, that comprises individuals from various nationalities, making it a melting pot of cultures. Expatriates form a substantial part of the population, attracted by the city's tax-free income and plethora of jobs and business opportunities.


According to recent data, Dubai’s population continued to increase in the first quarter of 2024 by over 25,700.

The population of Dubai is composed of a significant proportion of expatriates hailing from countries like Europe, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and the Philippines.


population by gender Dubai

Source: Dubai Statistics Center


Impact on Real Estate Supply


The diverse demographic composition of Dubai's population has a direct impact on the supply side of the real estate market.


Last year, were recorded 634 billion AED (or 173 billion USD) worth of transactions value in Dubai real estate market.


The influx of expatriates and foreign investors has created a high demand for residential properties. To cater to this demand, developers have been consistently launching and constructing new residential buildings, luxury villas, and apartment complexes across the city.

number of completed buildings in Dubai

Source: Dubai Statistics Center


The rise in demand has led to an increase in the supply of housing units, contributing to the expansion of Dubai's real estate market in recent years.

inventory of housing units in Dubai

Source: Dubai Data and Statistics Establishment

Influence on Real Estate Demand


The demographic characteristics of Dubai's population also impact the demand side of the real estate market.

Different nationalities have varying preferences when it comes to housing types, locations, and amenities. For example, families may prefer spacious villas in family-friendly communities, while young professionals might opt for trendy apartments in central areas.


Understanding these preferences is essential for real estate developers and brokerage agencies to tailor their offerings to meet the diverse needs of the city's residents.


Rental Market Dynamics


The population demographics in Dubai also play a crucial role in the rental market. With a large expatriate population that includes a substantial number of transient residents, the rental market remains robust. Demand for rental properties remains high, especially in freehold areas close to key business districts, educational institutions, and entertainment hubs.


Dubai Marina, Downtown Dubai, Business Bay, Palm Jumeirah among with Jumeirah Bay Island or Blue Waters Island, are the most commonly preferred areas for luxury apartments.


Tenants looking for affordable apartments are looking at Deira, Bur Dubai, Al Qusais followed by International City.


Landlords often have the flexibility to adjust rental prices based on fluctuating demand and according with RERA rent calculator.


Future Outlook


Dubai's population is projected to reach 5.8 million by the end of this decade, the city has unveiled in the Dubai 2040 Urban Master Plan which was launched by Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai, in March 2021.


Dubai’s National Housing Policy a key pillar part of the Dubai 2040 Urban Master Plan aims to provision 4,000 land plots and houses to citizens of Dubai, for the next 20 years, as the space allocated for national housing will increase to 1.7 billion square ft in 2040


Developers and investors will need to adapt to changing demographic trends, such as an increasing demand for sustainable living spaces, integrated communities, and smart technologies. By understanding the population dynamics and preferences, stakeholders in the real estate sector can capitalize on emerging opportunities and navigate potential challenges effectively.


The expected property supply this year in Dubai is 24,000 units to come into the market, while currently have been completed 17,877 units in the city.


In conclusion


The population demographics in Dubai form the bedrock of the city's real estate landscape, influencing supply, demand, rental market dynamics, and future trends. A deep understanding of the diverse needs and preferences of Dubai's residents is essential for all stakeholders in the real estate sector to thrive in this dynamic market environment.


With its vibrant mix of cultures, rapid urban development, and ambitious vision for the future, Dubai continues to be a magnet for residents and investors alike, making it a compelling hub for real estate opportunities.


Stay tuned for more insights on Dubai's evolving real estate market!

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